There is an odds-on favourite to win the 2021-22 season, and it is Manchester City. The Citizens finished the last season of EPL with a 12-points of space between them and the second place, so the probabilities derived from the odds come as no surprise.
Let’s look at the latest betting odds and key stats of the main favourites to win the league, to get into the top 4 and to be relegated, as well as the odds for the top goalscorer.
To win 2021-22 Premier League betting market: latest odds, statistics and probabilities
Chances of Manchester City defending their title are higher than the probability of any other club winning the league. They have finished in the top 4 more than 11 times in a row. Pep Guardiola’s men have won 5 league titles in this time span and have come second 4 times.
The previous season ended well for the Citizens. They won 27 league matches, with 5 draws and 6 losses. In addition to the Premier League trophy, they earned the League Cup title and finished second in the Champions League last season.
Two new players have joined Manchester this summer: Jack Grealish and Scott Carson. The former one is a top transfer, which should significantly increase the attacking prowess of the Citizens, while Carson is a worthy addition to an already long bench of the City.
These changes made Manchester City the most expensive squad in the Premier League. There are enough talents who are able to replace key players in any position, so Manchester City can battle in every single game of all the competitions with enough squad rotation
Manchester City to win the 2020-21 Premier League are priced with the odds of 1.80 (-125 American; 4/5 Fractional). Odds of their top 4 finish are 1.05 (-2000; 1/20). The implied probabilities are 55% and 95%, respectively.
To finish 2021-22 Premier League in top 4 betting market: latest odds, statistics and probabilities
Chelsea are not as stable as Manchester City. They have finished in the top 4 in 8 of the last 11 seasons and have won 2 of them. The Blues finished the 2020-21 Premier League fourth last time with 19 wins, 10 draws and 9 losses.
Main achievements for Chelsea came not in the national league. They won the Champions League and finished second in the FA Cup. Their roster is strong enough as it is, but Chelsea’s management plans to strengthen the attacking formation even more this summer. They are considering Romelu Lukaku and Harry Kane, the finest English forward.
Thomas Tuchel’s boys shining at the end of the previous season is the reason why bookmakers placed them second on the favourites list of the Premier League.
Chelsea to win this season are priced with the odds of 6.60 (+560, 28/5). The Blues to finish in the top 4 come with the odds of 1.25 (-400; 1/4). Also, you can bet on Chelsea to be the best London club of the season with the odds of 1.33 (-300; 1/3).
Liverpool are the least successful team on this list. The Reds have finished in the top 4 in 6 of the last 11 seasons and have won only once. Last season was a disappointment for Liverpool as they finished third in the Premier League and ended their Champions League performance in the quarter-finals. The previous 2019-20 season ended with victories in both tournaments and a record number of Premier League wins for Liverpool.
In the 2020-21 season, they won 20 matches alongside 9 draws and an equal number of losses.
Liverpool's only gain this summer has been the French defender, Ibrahima Konate, who is unlikely to affect the power of the squad greatly.
One way or another, Jurgen Klopp's squad is one of the strongest in England. Liverpool to win the 2020-21 Premier League come with the odds of 7.60 (+660; 33/5). The Reds to finish in top 4 are priced with the odds of 1.30 (-333; 3/10).
Manchester United are the most titled team in the Premier League history, but they were not as successful in recent years. The Red Devils have been in the top 4 in 7 of the last 11 seasons. But they have won only 2 of those — the last win being in the 2012-13 season.
Manchester United finished the last season second with 21 wins, 11 draws and 6 losses, with the latter record being the best in the league. They won the silver of the Europa League.
Tom Heaton and Jadon Sancho have joined the Red Devils this summer. We are unlikely to see the English goalkeeper in starting lineups, because Dean Henderson and David de Gea come first, while Jadon Sancho should significantly strengthen the attack of Manchester.
Manchester United to win this season are priced with the odds of 10.00 (+900; 9/1), whereas their top 4 finish comes with the odds of 1.36 (-275; 4/11).
To be relegated from 2021-22 Premier League betting market: latest odds, statistics and probabilities
Watford finished the 2020-21 Championship in second place, which promoted the team to the Premier League. In the 2020-21 season, the Hornets won 27 matches, drew 10 and lost 9. The last time Watford played in the Premier League, they came 19th: winning 8 matches, drawing 10 and losing 20. These results do not instill confidence in this team.
Watford to be eliminated from the Premier League come with the odds of 2.05 (+105; 26/25), whereas their rock bottom finish is priced with the odds of 4.33 (+333, 10/3).
Norwich was better than Watford in the Championship and finished it first. There were 29 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses for them. But at the same time, the Canaries failed their last season in the Premier League, finishing last while beating only 5 opponents.
Despite the fact that the team has enough young talents, it is unlikely that they will remain in the Premier League for another season. Norwich to finish last again come with the odds of 4.50 (+350; 7/2), whereas their elimination is priced with the odds of 2.00 (+100; 1/1).
Top 2021-22 Premier League goalscorer betting market: latest odds, statistics and probabilities
Harry Kane was the top scorer in the 2020-21 Premier League season. He scored 23 goals and made 14 assists, which made him the absolute leader by the number of effective actions. In addition, the English forward created 49 chances in the penalty area and made 53 shots on target.
Harry also scored 4 goals in 7 matches at the Euro 2020, which was the overall best result, if we don’t count the goals from the penalty spot. Harry Kane to score the greatest number of goals in the 2021-22 Premier League comes with the odds of 4.33 (+333; 10/3).
Mohamed Salah finished second on the list of the top scorers in the Premier League last time. The Egyptian forward scored 22 goals and made 5 assists. In total, we saw 52 shots on target and 57 chances created in the penalty area by him. Mohamed Salah to be the best goalscorer of this season comes with the odds of 4.50 (+350; 7/2).
The 2021-22 season in the Premier League starts on Friday, August 13 — and the bets are on!