UCL 2022-23: RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid prediction and betting tips (October 25)
RB Leipzig host Real Madrid in the return leg of their group stage meeting. They lost the first leg and are prepared to fight for a win in this fixture.
Vinicius Junior was very good in their last match against Sevilla, providing two assists
Vinicius Junior was very good in their last match against Sevilla, providing two assists
by Paul Awoniyi Paul Awoniyi

RB Leipzig face Real Madrid in Round 5 of the 2022-23 UEFA Champions League season.

The match is scheduled to start at 7:00 p.m. GMT on Tuesday, 25 October 2022. The match venue is Red Bull Arena, Leipzig.

Latest odds on betting sites

RB Leipzig to win odds are priced at 3.00 (+200 American; 2/1 Fractional), the odds for a draw are priced at 3.50 (+250; 5/2), while Real Madrid to win odds are priced at 2.25 (+125; 5/4).

The chances of these outcomes are as follows: RB Leipzig — 33%, draw — 27%, Real Madrid — 40%.

Latest betting odds on RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid (25 October 2022):

  • Over 2.5 goals — 1.66 (-150; 2/3)
  • Under 2.5 goals — 2.20 (+120; 6/5)
  • Asian handicap (0.0, +0.5) on RB Leipzig — 1.91 (-110; 10/11)
  • Asian handicap (0.0, -0.5) on Real Madrid — 2.00 (+100; evens)
  • Both teams to score (Yes) — 1.57 (-175; 4/7)
  • Both teams to score (No) — 2.25 (+125; 5/4)

Match preview and statistics

RB Leipzig are unbeaten in seven games across all competitions, with five wins and two draws. They are second in the UCL table with six points and a -1 goal difference. The Red Bulls drew 3-3 with Augsburg in their previous game.

Mergim Berisha, Ermedin Demirovic and Ruben Vargas already gave Augsburg a three-goal lead entering the 70th minute. The hosts were reduced to 10 men as Iago picked up two yellow cards. Andre Silva pulled one back from close range into the bottom left corner in the 73rd minute to make it 1-3.

Christopher made it 2-3 in the 89th minute from a direct free kick into the top right corner. Hugo Novea scored the equaliser in the 90th minute with a left footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner.

Team statistics: 68% possession, 2.40 expected goals, 18 total shots, seven shots on target, three big chances, 415 accurate passes, 81% pass accuracy, 11 fouls committed, six corners and one yellow card.

They beat Celtic 2-nil in their Round 4 tie in the UCL. Werner and Forsberg scored the goals in the second half.

RB Leipzig team news: Konrad Laimer, Lukas Klostermann and Peter Gulacsi are sidelined due to injuries, while Timo Werner is doubtful.

Real Madrid are hot at the moment. Carlo Ancelotti’s team have not lost a single game in 16 matches this season. They top the UCL group table with 10 points and a +6 goal difference.

Los Blancos beat Sevilla 3-1 in their last match. Luka Modric opened the scoring in the fifth minute with a simple finish from close range. Assisted by Vinicius Junior. Erik Lamela pulled one back in the 54th minute, slotting the ball past Courtois. The goalie touched it, but it was not enough to stop it from rolling in.

Lucas Vazquez restored Madrid’s lead in the 79th minute with another simple finish. Vinicius got the credit for the goal. Federico Valverde made it 3-1 in the 81st minute with a sensational strike from outside the box on the right side into the top left corner.

Team statistics: 56% possession, 3.01 expected goals, 18 total shots, six shots on target, three big chances, 579 accurate passes, 91% pass accuracy, nine fouls committed, four corners and one yellow card.

Madrid were held to a 1-1 draw by Shakhtar Donetsk in the Round 4 tie. Thanks to a dying minute header from Rudiger, Donetsk would have won the game.

Real Madrid team news: Dani Ceballos and Mariano Diaz are out due to injuries.

RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid H2H

Real Madrid won 2-nil in the first meeting against RB Leipzig.

Lineups and key players

RB Leipzig projected starting lineup:

  • Janis Blaswich
  • Benjamin Henrichs
  • Willi Orban
  • Josko Gvardiol
  • David Raum
  • Xaver Schlager
  • Amadou Haidara
  • Dominik Szoboszlai
  • Emil Forsberg
  • Andre Silva
  • Christopher Nkunku

Christopher Nkunku is the key player to watch out for. In the previous game against Augsburg, he came off the bench and still scored a goal. Nkunku should be able to net one against Madrid.

Real Madrid projected starting lineup:

  • Thibaut Courtois
  • Lucas Vazquez
  • Eder Militao
  • Antonio Rudiger
  • David Alaba
  • Aurelien Tchouameni
  • Toni Kroos
  • Luka Modric
  • Federico Valverde
  • Karim Benzema
  • Vinicius Junior

Vinicius Junior is the key player to watch out for. He was very good in their last match against Sevilla, providing two assists. Even if Vinicius doesn’t score, you’ll feel his presence on the pitch.

Prediction and betting tips

RB Leipzig are in good form ahead of their clash. They haven’t lost in seven games and are unbeaten in five home matches. Real Madrid, on the other hand, are unbeaten in 16 matches. The Spanish team is on a three-match winning streak.

They won 2-nil in the first meeting against the German team. The predictions for this match are Draw No Bet — Real Madrid, BTTS (Yes), and correct score: 1-2. Los Blancos are in better form and should be able to beat Leipzig. With their form, both sides should be able to score.

Betting prediction: Draw No Bet — Real Madrid

Odds: 1.61 (-164 American; 25/41 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Both teams to score (Yes)

Odds: 1.57 (-175 American; 4/7 Fractional)

Correct Score prediction: 1-2

Odds: 9.00 (+800 American; 8/1 Fractional)

FootballUEFA Champions League. Group stage. Round 5
RB Leipzig — Real Madrid
Draw No Bet — Real Madrid
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