UCL 2022-23: Ajax vs Napoli prediction and betting tips (October 4)
Ajax and Napoli meet in Round 3 of this season’s UCL matches. The Italian team is unbeaten so far with their six-game winning streak. Can De Godenzonen get back to their best in this home fixture?
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia  has five goals and three assists in 10 matches for Napoli this season
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has five goals and three assists in 10 matches for Napoli this season
by Paul Awoniyi Paul Awoniyi

Ajax host Napoli in Round 3 of the 2022-23 UCL group stage matches.

The match is scheduled to start at 7:00 p.m. GMT on Tuesday, 4 October 2022. The match venue is Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam, Netherlands.

Latest odds on betting sites

Ajax to win odds are priced at 2.20 (+120 American; 6/5 Fractional), the odds for a draw are priced at 3.75 (+275; 11/4), while Napoli to win odds are priced at 2.90 (+190; 19/10).

The chances of these outcomes are as follows: Ajax — 40%, draw — 26%, Napoli — 34%.

Latest betting odds on Ajax vs Napoli (4 October 2022):

  • Over 2.5 goals — 1.57 (-175; 4/7)
  • Under 2.5 goals — 2.36 (+136; 34/25)
  • Asian handicap (0.0, -0.5) on Ajax — 1.98 (-102; 50/51)
  • Asian handicap (0.0, +0.5) on Napoli — 1.94 (-106; 53/50)
  • Both teams to score (Yes) — 1.50 (-200; 1/2)
  • Both teams to score (No) — 2.50 (+150; 3/2)

Match preview and statistics

Ajax are third in the UCL Group A table with three points and a +3 goal difference from two matches played. De Godenzonen have two wins, a draw and two losses in their last five games. Their last fixture was in the league against Go Ahead Eagles. They drew 1-1.

Davy Klaassen opened the scoring in the 45th minute before halftime with a shot from close range to the bottom right corner. Dusan Tadic provided the assist with the cross from the corner. Willum Willumsson pulled one back in the 78th minute with a shot from the right side of the box to the centre of the goal. Following the fast break, Finn Stokkers sent in the cross.

Team statistics: 75% possession, 2.03 expected goal, 23 total shots, three big chances, seven shots on target, 660 accurate passes, 86% pass accuracy, six fouls, seven corners and one yellow card.

A recap of their performance in the UCL. Ajax have a win and a loss in the two fixtures played. The Eredivisie Champions started the campaign with a 4-nil win at home against Rangers. Edson Alvarez, Steven Berghuis, Mohammed Kudus and Steven Bergwijn were the goalscorers in the win.

They lost 1-2 to Liverpool at Anfield in the Round 2 tie. Kudus scored the team’s goal. It was a poor game from the Dutch team, but it is expected when playing the Reds away.

Ajax team news: Jorge Sanchez is ruled out due to a knee injury.

Napoli are top of the group table with six points and a +6 goal difference. They have not lost a single match this season, with eight wins and two draws in the ten games. The Blues have won the previous six matches played.

They beat Torino 3-1 in their last fixture. Zambo Anguissa opened the scoring in the sixth minute with a header from the middle of the box to the right corner. Mario Rui assisted with the cross. Six minutes later, Anguissa doubled the lead with a shot from the right side of the box to the bottom right corner. Matteo Politano with the assist.

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia continues to impress everyone at Napoli as he scored his fifth goal in eight league matches. Piotr Zielinski assisted Kvaratskhelia as he scored with a shot into the bottom right corner. Antonio Sanabria pulled one back in the 44th minute.

Team statistics: 49% possession, 1.62 expected goal, 15 total shots, one big chance, seven shots on target, 370 accurate passes, 81% pass accuracy, four fouls and four corners.

I Partenopei beat Liverpool in the Round 1 fixture. They demolished the Reds as they put four past them, and they could only reply with a goal. Zielinski dropped a very good performance as he scored a brace in the match. They beat Rangers 3-nil in the Round 2 fixture. Another masterclass from Luciano Spalletti’s men

Napoli team news: Gianluca Gaetano and Victor Osimhen are sidelined for the game.

Ajax vs Napoli H2H

This is going to be the first meeting between Ajax and Napoli.

Lineups and key players

Ajax projected starting lineup:

  • Remko Pasveer
  • Devyne Rensch
  • Jurrien Timber
  • Calvin Bassey
  • Daley Blind
  • Davy Klaassen
  • Kenneth Taylor
  • Steven Berghuis
  • Mohammed Kudus
  • Steven Bergwijn
  • Dusan Tadic

Mohamed Kudus is the key player to watch out for. He has seven goals and an assist in 11 appearances for Ajax this season. In the UCL, Kudus has three G+A, scored against Rangers and Liverpool. Looking forward to a good game from the Ghana international.

Napoli projected starting lineup:

  • Alex Meret
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo
  • Amir Rrahmani
  • Min-Jae Kim
  • Mario Rui
  • Stanislav Lobotka
  • Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
  • Matteo Politano
  • Piotr Zielinski
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  • Giacomo Raspadori

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is the key player to watch out for. The forward has five goals and three assists in 10 matches for Napoli this season. He scored a goal in their last match against Torino. Expecting him to have a goal contribution in this game.

Prediction and betting tips

Napoli have been in excellent form since the start of the season. They remain unbeaten in the 10 matches played, winning eight and drawing two. The Blues are on a six-game winning streak going into the fixture.

Ajax have found it tough lately, with a draw and two losses in their last three matches. The Eredivisie Champions cannot be looked down upon, seeing how they almost match the big sides in Europe. One thing is for sure, they’ll most definitely change the narrative. De Godenzonen are unbeaten in five home matches.

The predictions for this match are BTTS to score and over 2.5 goals, and Ajax (0.0, +0.5). De Godenzonen have the home advantage in this game and are unbeaten in their previous five matches at home. Napoli’s form makes us expect them to score in this tie.

Betting prediction: BTTS + Over/Under — Yes & over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.80 (-125 American; 4/5 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Asian handicap (0.0, +0.5) on Ajax
Odds: 1.50 (-200 American; 1/2 Fractional)

FootballUEFA Champions League. Group stage. Round 3
Ajax — Napoli
Asian handicap (0.0, +0.5) on Ajax
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